Poll of Polls: NDA Poised for Big Win in Bihar; Grand Alliance Faces Major Setback
New Delhi, Nov 11: The BJP-led NDA is set to sweep the *Bihar Assembly elections 2025, with most *exit polls predicting a decisive victory for the ruling alliance and a major setback for the RJD-Congress-led Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance).
The two-phase elections, held on *November 6 and 11, saw heavy voter turnout across the state. According to the *“Poll of Polls” analysis, nearly all major survey agencies forecast a comfortable majority for the NDA, easily crossing the halfway mark of 122 seats in the 243-member Assembly.
In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan appears to be struggling to reach the *100-seat mark, while *Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj, which positioned itself as a third front, seems unlikely to make an impact.
A total of seven polling agencies predict a *clear majority for the NDA, with three projecting the alliance’s tally **above 160 seats. Most exit polls suggest the *Mahagathbandhan could be restricted to double digits, with some giving it a maximum of around 100 seats.
Parties like *Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM, **Jan Suraaj, and *Independents are seen playing a minimal role, collectively winning 2–8 seats.
Here’s a breakdown of the key exit poll projections:
- Chanakya Strategies: NDA – 130–138 seats; Mahagathbandhan – 100–108; Others – 3–5; Jan Suraaj – 0.
- Dainik Bhaskar: NDA – 145–160; Mahagathbandhan – 73–91; Others – 5–7.
- Polstrat: NDA – 133–148 (44.71% vote share); Mahagathbandhan – 87–102 (40.34% vote share).
- DV Research: NDA – 137–152; Mahagathbandhan – 83–98; Others – 1–8.
- JVC: NDA – 135–150; Mahagathbandhan – 88–103; Others – 3–6.
- People’s Insight: NDA – 133–148; Mahagathbandhan – 87–102; Others – 3–6.
- IANS–Matrize Exit Poll: NDA – 147–167; Mahagathbandhan – 70–90.
- P-Marq: NDA – 142–162; Mahagathbandhan – 80–98.
- People’s Pulse: NDA – 133–159; Mahagathbandhan – 75–101; Jan Suraaj – 1–5.
Across the board, exit polls suggest a *“bumper win” for the NDA, with the *Mahagathbandhan facing a significant decline compared to previous elections.
The official counting of votes will take place later this week, when the final verdict will confirm whether these projections hold true.
